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Today vs Tomorrow: How many of us have a drawer or box somewhere in our home full of perfectly functional electronics that we no longer use. How many transformers, car chargers, docking stations, wireless gizmos ranging from old cell phones to wireless mice, etc etc do we all have? Do you own a single pocket-sized electronic device (bought in the last two decades) that won’t require outright replacement after just a few years use? And how much longer did keep your first Palm Pilot last than your last Blackberry / Treo / iPhone? People have come to expect a very short lifespan for many of the today’s goods because we’ve all taken for granted how relatively cheap they are. Many of us often choose to replace products long before they have past their useful lifespan, especially when something malfunctions (rather than repair). Do you honestly expect your cell phone to last at least 3 years, or that if it were to stop functioning after just the 1st year, would you have it repaired rather than replaced? Can anyone remember the last time they took a TV to be repaired? The expectation of product longevity has us replacing our coffee-makers, TVs, cameras, cell phones and even computers every 3 years, or less! In a declining economy, consumers may soon realize the cost of such a replacement cycle is no longer affordable. The ability to upgrade / enhance and even repair a product that has been designed for a longer lifespan will be a valuable selling point for the budget-conscious buyer looking to stretch their dollar in tomorrow’s economy.

My conclusion is the disposable universe of consumer goods, one in which people buy more and consequently throw away a lot of products before their usable life has expired, is going to disappear. Products that you buy to keep may well turn out to benefit from these dramatically transformed conditions. Cost efficient design and establishing a reputation for durability and reliability will be the rule. And while this may result in fewer products being brought to market, designers and engineers should be very busy developing extended life-cycle products to meet the ‘economy of tomorrow’s efficiency requirements.

www.seismicllc.com

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